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Wrong Number
How to Extract Truth From a Blizzard of Quantitative Disinformation

Aaron Brown (Author)

9781394379781, Wiley

Hardback, published 27 April 2026

416 pages
23.1 x 16.3 x 3.6 cm, 0.612 kg

Dig deep to discover the truth about numbers and statistics in the media

Wrong Number: How to Extract Truth From a Blizzard of Quantitative Disinformation shows readers how to diagnose statistical errors in journal articles and media accounts of prominent public issues. In addition to the mistakes or tricks with numbers other people use to lose the truth, this book also offers more positive material, showing how to use numbers to find truth.

Written by Aaron Brown, prominent media figure, former professor, sports bettor, and poker player, and host of the popular ReasonTV series Wrong Number, this book answers questions including:

  • Did California’s minimum wage hike really create more jobs?
  • Do studies show that weed causes strokes and heart attacks?
  • Are poor geniuses being shut out of science?
  • What is the real health risk of vaping?
  • Does gun control work?

Wrong Number: How to Extract Truth From a Blizzard of Quantitative Disinformation is an entertaining and eye-opening read for students in quantitative programs of study, along with all individuals curious as to whether or not they’re being told the truth from their favorite media organizations.

Contents

Foreword

Acknowledgments

Chapter 1 The Story of Wrong Number

Chapter 2 Did USAID Really Save 90 Million Lives? Not Unless It Raised the Dead

Chapter 3 Should Median Worker Pay Be $102,000? Gullible Reporters Think So

Chapter 4 Could More COVID Eviction Moratoriums Have Cut US COVID Death Rates by 41%? No

Chapter 5 Is Marijuana Bad For Your Heart? The Head Says “No”

Chapter 6 No Data? No Problem

Chapter 7 A Woven Web of Guesses

Chapter 8 The War to Make the World Safe for Pain

Chapter 9 Smiles Make You Live Longer?

Chapter 10 To Truth and Honesty, May They Never Meet

Chapter 11 Confidence Intervals in Wartime

Chapter 12 Repent! The End is Near

Chapter 13 Who Stole My Nobel Prize?

Chapter 14 Why are there Poor Quants?

Chapter 15 State-istics

Chapter 16 Did Medicaid Expansion Save 100,000 Lives?

Chapter 17 A Gun Control Love Story

Chapter 18 Do You Feel Lucky? Well, Do Ya Punk?

Chapter 19 Seventh-Inning Stretch

Chapter 20 Ratpocalypse!

Chapter 21 Unsettling Treatment of Unsettled

Chapter 22 Diversity + Equity + Inclusion = Better Performance?

Chapter 23 21st-Century Muckraking

Chapter 24 Philip Tetlock

Chapter 25 Sex and Traffic Cops

Chapter 26 What is the Interest Rate in Hell?

Chapter 27 The 5% Solution

Chapter 28 Football Fixes

Chapter 29 Private Rooms and Private Equity

Chapter 30 The Reason That They Don’t Teach at Schools Like Wharton

Chapter 31 Concluding Thoughts

References

About the Author

Index

Subject Areas: Business & management [KJ]

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