Subjective Probability
The Real Thing

A concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view.

Richard Jeffrey (Author)

9780521536684, Cambridge University Press

Paperback, published 12 April 2004

142 pages
22.6 x 15.3 x 1 cm, 0.2 kg

'... a well written account of basic subjective probability as a tool for decision making under uncertain observations.' Zentralblatt MATH

This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.

1. Probability primer
2. Testing scientific theories
3. Probability dynamics
collaboration
4. Expectation primer
5. Updating on statistics
6. Choosing.

Subject Areas: Philosophy of science [PDA], Probability & statistics [PBT], Decision theory: general [GPQ]