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Scenarios for Success
Turning Insights in to Action
Bill Sharpe (Edited by), Kees van der Heijden (Edited by)
9780470512982, Wiley
Hardback, published 12 October 2007
440 pages
23.3 x 16.1 x 3 cm, 0.765 kg
"[The book] shows just how many new aspects there are to be seen." (Credit Control Journal, Volume 28 #4)
Properly researched and intelligently deployed, scenario planning is today’s most powerful tool for understanding and preparing for an uncertain future. Yet it remains a niche approach, poorly understood by leaders at large. To bring it into the strategy mainstream, leaders need advice on how to turn concepts (scenarios) into actions (strategy). Scenarios for Success delivers a unique and coherent account of the state of the scenario planning art. It is aimed particularly at those trying to implement its findings. Striking a balance between theory and practice, the contributors show how and why the core techniques of scenario thinking have endured and are still valuable, while bringing new tools and processes that keep scenario planning in touch with modern realities.
List of Contributors ix Preface xiii Acknowledgments xv Overview xvii Part I Origins: Navigating with Invisible Islands 1 1 Conversations with Peter Schwartz and Napier Collyns 13 2 Professional Dreamers: The Future in the Past of Scenario Planning 27 Part II Scenarios In the World of Business 53 3 Scenarios and Innovation 75 4 Scenarios to Develop Strategic Options: A New Interactive Role for Scenarios in Strategy 89 5 Deepening Futures with System Structure 121 6 From Signals to Decisions 145 7 When Strangers Meet: Scenarios and the Legal Profession 173 8 The Power of Narrative 197 Part III Scenarios In the World of Management 217 9 Viewing Futures Network: Collaborative Learning and Innovation at Rabobank 235 10 Facilitating Scenario Development Process: Some Lessons for Facilitators 259 11 Appreciating the Future 279 12 Building a Comprehensive Strategic Future Management System: A Future Map Approach 315 13 Acting on the Future 339 14 Backwards to the Future: Scenarios as Routines for Organizational Health 373 Concluding Remarks 391 References 395 Index 403
Bill Sharpe
Cynthia Selin
Jan Verloop
Rafael Ramírez and Kees Van der Heijden
Tony Hodgson and Bill Sharpe
Alexander Fink, Philip Hadridge and Gill Ringland
Karim Medjad and Rafael Ramírez
Lennart Nordfors
Paul de Ruijter
Ronald Bradfield
Tony Hodgson
Don Heathfield
Andrew Curry
James Tansey
Subject Areas: Business & management [KJ]
