International Futures
Building and Using Global Models

Examines the International Futures System for international forecasting and compares it to existing modeling systems

Barry B. Hughes (Author)

9780128042717, Elsevier Science

Hardback, published 19 March 2019

330 pages
23.4 x 19 x 2.4 cm, 0.92 kg

International Futures: Building and Using Global Models extensively covers one of the most advanced systems for integrated, long-term, global and large-scale forecasting analysis available today, the International Futures (IFs) system. Key elements of a strong, long-term global forecasting system are described, i.e. the formulations for the driving variables in separate major models and the manner in which these separate models are integrated. The heavy use of algorithmic and rule-based elements and the use of elements of control theory is also explained. Furthermore, the IFs system is compared and contrasted with all other major modeling efforts, also outlining the major benefits of the IFs system.

1. Introduction2. Building a Global Model: The Toolkit3. The Evolution of Global Modeling4. Introducing International Futures5. The Future of Human Development6. The Future of Socioeconomic Development7. The Future of Sustainable Development8. Feedbacks and Disruption: Sources of Uncertainty9. Looking Ahead: Global Models and the IFs System

Subject Areas: Applied mathematics [PBW]