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Extreme Events and Natural Hazards
The Complexity Perspective
A. Surjalal Sharma (Edited by), AS Sharma (Author), Armin Bunde (Edited by), Vijay P. Dimri (Edited by), Daniel N. Baker (Edited by)
9780875904863, Wiley
Hardback, published 1 January 2012
380 pages
27.4 x 22.4 x 2.8 cm, 1.338 kg
Published by the American Geophysical Union as part of the Geophysical Monograph Series, Volume 196.
Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective examines recent developments in complexity science that provide a new approach to understanding extreme events. This understanding is critical to the development of strategies for the prediction of natural hazards and mitigation of their adverse consequences. The volume is a comprehensive collection of current developments in the understanding of extreme events. The following critical areas are highlighted: understanding extreme events, natural hazard prediction and development of mitigation strategies, recent developments in complexity science, global change and how it relates to extreme events, and policy sciences and perspective. With its overarching theme, Extreme Events and Natural Hazards will be of interest and relevance to scientists interested in nonlinear geophysics, natural hazards, atmospheric science, hydrology, oceanography, tectonics, and space weather.
Preface Complexity and Extreme Events in Geosciences: An Overview Section I: Solid Earth Earthquakes: Complexity and Extreme Events Patterns of Seismicity Found in the Generalized Vicinity of a Strong Earthquake: Agreement With Common Scenarios of Instability Development Characterizing Large Events and Scaling in Earthquake Models With Inhomogeneous Damage Fractal Dimension and b Value Mapping Before and After the 2004 Megathrust Earthquake in the Andaman-Sumatra Subduction Zone Stress Pulse Migration by Viscoelastic Process for Long-Distance Delayed Triggering of Shocks in Gujarat, India, After the 2001 Mw 7.7 Bhuj Earthquake Extreme Seismic Events in Models of Lithospheric Block-and-Fault Dynamics Section II: Oceans Investigation of Past and Future Polar Low Frequency in the North Atlantic Variability of North Atlantic Hurricanes: Seasonal Versus Individual-Event Features Large-Scale Patterns in Hurricane-Driven Shoreline Change Section III: Atmosphere Precipitation and River Flow: Long-Term Memory and Predictability of Extreme Events Extreme Events and Trends in the Indian Summer Monsoon Empirical Orthogonal Function Spectra of Extreme Temperature Variability Decoded From Tree Rings of the Western Himalayas On the Estimation of Natural and Anthropogenic Trends in Climate Records Climate Subsystems: Pacemakers of Decadal Climate Variability Dynamical System Exploration of the Hurst Phenomenon in Simple Climate Models Low-Frequency Weather and the Emergence of the Climate Section IV: Geospace Extreme Space Weather: Forecasting Behavior of a Nonlinear Dynamical System Supermagnetic Storms: Hazard to Society Development of Intermediate-Scale Structure in the Nighttime Equatorial Ionosphere Complex Analysis of Polar Auroras for 1996 On Self-Similar and Multifractal Models for the Scaling of Extreme Bursty Fluctuations in Space Plasmas Section V: General Extreme Value and Record Statistics in Heavy-Tailed Processes With Long-Range Memory Extreme Event Recurrence Time Distributions and Long Memory Dealing With Complexity and Extreme Events Using a Bottom-Up, Resource-Based Vulnerability Perspective AGU Category Index 361 Index 363
A. Surjalal Sharma, Armin Bunde, Vijay P. Dimri, and Daniel N. Baker vii
A. Surjalal Sharma, Daniel N. Baker, Archana Bhattacharyya, Armin Bunde, Vijay P. Dimri, Harsh K. Gupta, Vijay K. Gupta, Shaun Lovejoy, Ian G. Main, Daniel Schertzer, Hans von Storch, and Nicholas W. Watkins 1
M. R. Yoder, D. L. Turcotte, and J. B. Rundle 17
M. V. Rodkin 27
Rachele Dominguez, Kristy Tiampo, C. A. Serino, and W. Klein 41
Sohini Roy, Uma Ghosh, Sugata Hazra, and J. R. Kayal 55
B. K. Rastogi, Pallabee Choudhury, Rakesh Dumka, K. M. Sreejith, and T. J. Majumdar 63
A. T. Ismail-Zadeh, J.-L. Le Mouël, and A. A. Soloviev 75
Matthias Zahn and Hans von Storch 99
Álvaro Corral and Antonio Turiel 111
Eli D. Lazarus, Andrew D. Ashton, and A. Brad Murray 127
Armin Bunde, Mikhail I. Bogachev, and Sabine Lennartz 139
V. Krishnamurthy 153
R. K. Tiwari, R. R. Yadav, and K. P. C. Kaladhar Rao 169
S. Lennartz and A. Bunde 177
Anastasios A. Tsonis 191
O. J. Mesa, V. K. Gupta, and P. E. O’Connell 209
S. Lovejoy and D. Schertzer 231
D. N. Baker 255
G. S. Lakhina, S. Alex, B. T. Tsurutani, and W. D. Gonzalez 267
A. Bhattacharyya 279
James Wanliss and Joshua Peterson 293
N. W. Watkins, B. Hnat, and S. C. Chapman 299
Aicko Y. Schumann, Nicholas R. Moloney, and Jörn Davidsen 315
M. S. Santhanam 335
Roger A. Pielke Sr., Rob Wilby, Dev Niyogi, Faisal Hossain, Koji Dairuku, Jimmy Adegoke, George Kallos, Timothy Seastedt, and Katharine Suding 345
Subject Areas: Earth sciences [RB]
