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Clinical Trials in the Era of Real-World Evidence

Jie Chen (Author), Naitee Ting (Author), Feinan Lu (Author)

9781394369652, Wiley

Paperback / softback, published 6 May 2026

464 pages
24.6 x 20.3 x 3 cm, 0.885 kg

Integrate RCTs and real-world evidence for stronger regulatory submissions

Since the passage of the 21st Century Cures Act, the landscape of clinical research has transformed dramatically. Today, the integration of real-world data (RWD) and real-world evidence (RWE) with traditional randomized controlled trials (RCTs) is not just innovative - it is essential for modern drug development and regulatory decision-making.

This comprehensive volume bridges the methodologies of conventional RCTs and emerging RWE studies, offering systematic approaches for leveraging diverse data sources throughout the clinical development lifecycle. Grounded in regulatory statistics yet forward-looking in scope, the book explores Stein's continuum of study designs - from traditional RCTs to pragmatic trials and observational studies - and demonstrates how RWD can enhance trial feasibility, inform outcome selection, provide external controls for single-arm trials, and strengthen post-approval safety monitoring.

Readers will find detailed explorations of:

  • A history of clinical trials, evidence-based medicine, and the regulatory frameworks governing drug approval
  • Treatment switching and estimands in RWE studies
  • Advanced analytical considerations including precision medicine, vaccine effectiveness, safety evaluation, and sensitivity analysis
  • Practical roadmaps for designing robust RWE studies
  • Artificial intelligence and machine learning in clinical research

Designed as both a reference and a graduate-level textbook, this book serves clinical researchers such as clinicians and biostatisticians, regulatory professionals, public health scientists, and industry practitioners seeking to harness the power of RWD and RWE to generate credible, actionable evidence for modern medicine.

Preface xvii

Acknowledgments xxi

Acronyms xxiii

Chapter 1 Introduction 1

1.1 Medical Product Development Pathway 1

1.2 Development of Evidence-Based Medicine 2

1.3 The 21st Century Cures Act 4

1.4 Regulatory Guidance and Related Documents 4

1.5 Discussion and Summary 8

1.6 Supplements 9

Chapter 2 A Brief History and Critical Components of Clinical Trials 10

2.1 Lady Tasting Tea 10

2.2 Alpha 12

2.3 Permutation Test 13

2.4 Selection of Control 16

2.5 Parallel Versus Crossover Trials 19

2.6 Blinding 20

2.7 Process of a Clinical Trial 21

2.8 Supplements 26

Chapter 3 Clinical Development Process of a New Drug 27

3.1 Clinical Development Plan 27

3.2 Phase I Clinical Trials 31

3.3 Phase II Clinical Trials 36

3.4 Phase III Trials 44

3.5 New Drug Application (NDA) 49

3.6 Phase IV Studies 50

3.7 Supplements 51

Chapter 4 Design Considerations for Phase III Confirmatory Trials 52

4.1 Drug Label 52

4.2 Selection of Primary Indication 53

4.3 Multi-Regional Clinical Trials (MRCT) 54

4.4 Selection of Endpoint(s) 56

4.5 Selection of Control 57

4.6 Selection of Dose(s) 61

4.7 Additional Considerations 63

4.8 Supplements 67

Chapter 5 Regulatory Submission and Approval 69

5.1 International Council of Harmonisation (ICH) 69

5.2 Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) 71

5.3 Pre-submission Meetings 72

5.4 Common Technical Documents and Submission 73

5.5 Advisory Committee Meetings 75

5.6 Supplements 77

Chapter 6 Overview on Use of RWD and RWE in Regulatory Setting 79

6.1 Categories of RWD and External Data 79

6.2 Supporting Trial Design and Conduct 80

6.3 Using RWD and RWE to Support Product Approval 83

6.4 Fulfilling Post-marketing Requirements and Commitments 88

6.5 Discussion and Summary 89

6.6 Supplements 89

Chapter 7 Single-Arm Trials 91

7.1 Necessary Conditions 92

7.2 Desirable Conditions 92

7.3 Other Considerations 98

7.4 Examples 101

7.5 Conclusion and Summary 104

7.6 Supplements 105

Chapter 8 Externally Controlled Trials 107

8.1 Types of External Controls 107

8.2 External Data as a Sole Control Group 111

8.3 External Data to Augment Concurrent Controls in RCTs 114

8.4 Assessment of Fit-for-Use External Data 115

8.5 General Considerations in Using External Controls 117

8.6 A Targeted-Learning Roadmap for Causal Inference in ECTs 118

8.7 Discussion and Summary 123

8.8 Supplements 124

Chapter 9 Master Protocols 126

9.1 Types and Features of Master Protocols 126

9.2 Estimands in Master Protocols 128

9.3 Multiplicity 129

9.4 Master Protocols Using External Controls 130

9.5 Case Studies for ECTs 134

9.6 Discussion and Summary 137

9.7 Supplements 137

Chapter 10 Decentralized Clinical Trials 139

10.1 Elements of DCTs 140

10.2 Regulatory Guidance and Framework on DCTs 144

10.3 Statistical Challenges and Considerations 145

10.4 Examples 154

10.5 Discussion and Summary 156

10.6 Supplements 157

Chapter 11 Drug Development for Rare Diseases 159

11.1 Regulatory Guidance for Rare Diseases 160

11.2 Challenges in Rare Disease Drug Development 163

11.3 Strategies to Address the Challenges 168

11.4 Use of RWD and RWE in Rare Disease Drug Development 174

11.5 Case Studies 180

11.6 Discussion and Summary 182

11.7 Supplements 183

Chapter 12 Time-to-Event Analysis with Treatment Switches 185

12.1 Scenarios of Treatment Switching 185

12.2 Study Designs Incorporating Treatment Switching 187

12.3 Strategies to Handle Treatment Switching 189

12.4 Analytical Methods Handling Treatment Switching 190

12.5 Considerations for Study Conduct and Data Analysis 195

12.6 Communication with Regulatory Agencies 196

12.7 Case Studies 197

12.8 Discussion and Summary 199

12.9 Supplements 200

Chapter 13 Precision Medicine 201

13.1 Regulatory Activities and Approvals 202

13.2 Biomarkers 205

13.3 Study Designs in Precision Medicine Development 211

13.4 Analytic Methods and Applications 224

13.5 Optimal Treatment Regimes 235

13.6 Discussion and Summary 246

13.7 Supplements 248

Chapter 14 Vaccine Effectiveness Studies 251

14.1 General Considerations in Vaccine Development 252

14.2 Immune Response, Immunogenicity, and Early-Phase Clinical Development 254

14.3 Endpoints, Study Population, and Other Design Considerations in Late-Phase Trials 257

14.4 Assessing Vaccine Effectiveness Using Real-World Data and Evidence 264

14.5 Vaccine Safety 265

14.6 Discussion and Summary 266

14.7 Supplements 267

Chapter 15 Sensitivity Analyses in Clinical Trials 269

15.1 Primary, Supplementary, Sensitivity, and Exploratory Analyses 269

15.2 Rationales for Sensitivity Analysis 272

15.3 Considerations for Sensitivity Analysis 272

15.4 Methods for Sensitivity Analyses 274

15.5 Summary and Conclusion 278

15.6 Supplements 279

Chapter 16 Safety Evaluation 282

16.1 Safety Databases 282

16.2 Statistical Methods for Analysis of Spontaneous Adverse Event Reports 284

16.3 A Case Study—Sequential Monitoring in Pragmatic Trials 296

16.4 Discussion and Summary 299

16.5 Supplements 300

Chapter 17 Estimands in RWE Studies 302

17.1 Frameworks for Defining Estimands 302

17.2 Estimands in RWE Studies 307

17.3 Examples of Estimands in TCTs and RWE Studies 312

17.4 Discussion and Summary 319

17.5 Supplements 319

Chapter 18 A Roadmap for Formulating RWE Studies 321

18.1 Who Are the Stakeholders and What Are Their Research Questions? 321

18.2 What Are the Study Objectives, Designs, and Analytic Methods? 322

18.3 What Are the Fit-for-Purpose RWD Sources? 322

18.4 What Are the Treatment Regimes of Interest? 322

18.5 What Are the Possible Intercurrent Events? 322

18.6 A Roadmap for Choosing an Appropriate Estimand and RWE Study Design 323

18.7 Discussion and Summary 323

18.8 Supplements 325

Chapter 19 Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Clinical Studies 326

19.1 Study Design and Planning 327

19.2 Study Conduct 330

19.3 Data Analytics 336

19.4 Prediction of Clinical Trial Outcomes 346

19.5 Discussion and Summary 354

19.6 Supplements 355

Bibliography 361

Index 429

Subject Areas: Medicine: general issues [MB]

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