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Barriers to Peace in Civil War
Civil wars with multiple combatants last longer and are harder to resolve. Cunningham suggests a new approach to peace negotiations.
David E. Cunningham (Author)
9781107416635, Cambridge University Press
Paperback / softback, published 12 June 2014
298 pages, 10 b/w illus. 19 tables
22.9 x 15.2 x 1.6 cm, 0.4 kg
'Barriers to Peace in Civil War offers a rich theoretical argument, employing sophisticated statistical analysis and detailed case studies with profound policy implications.' Scott Gates, Centre for the Study of Civil War, PRIO and Norwegian University of Science and Technology
Civil wars vary greatly in their duration. This book argues that conflicts are longer when they involve more actors who can block agreement (veto players) and identifies specific problems that arise in multi-party bargaining. Quantitative analysis of over 200 civil wars since World War II reveals that conflicts with more of these actors last much longer than those with fewer. Detailed comparison of negotiations in Rwanda and Burundi demonstrates that multi-party negotiations present additional barriers to peace not found in two party conflicts. In addition, conflicts with more veto players produce more casualties, are more likely to involve genocide and are followed by shorter periods of peace. Because they present many barriers to peace, the international community has a poor track record of resolving multi-party conflicts. David Cunningham shows that resolution is possible in these wars if peace processes are designed to address the barriers that emerge in multi-party conflicts.
1. Introduction
2. A veto player theory of conflict bargaining
3. Testing the effect of veto players on duration
4. Bargaining and fighting in Rwanda and Burundi
5. The effects of veto players on conflict severity, genocide and the duration of peace
6. Designing peace processes in multi-party civil wars
7. Conclusion
Appendix A
Appendix B
Works cited
Index.
Subject Areas: Armed conflict [JPWS], International relations [JPS], Comparative politics [JPB], Social & political philosophy [HPS], Peace studies & conflict resolution [GTJ]