{"product_id":"statistical-games-and-human-affairs-this-view-from-within-paperback-9780521123419","title":"Statistical Games and Human Affairs; This View from Within (Paperback) 9780521123419","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003eStatistical Games and Human Affairs\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\u003cfont size=\"5\"\u003eThis View from Within\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eThis book puts the underlying methodology of socioeconomic statistics on a firmer footing by placing it within the ambit of inferential and predictive games.\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003eRoger J. Bowden (Author)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9780521123419, Cambridge University Press\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePaperback, published 19 November 2009\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e296 pages\u003cbr\u003e22.9 x 15.2 x 1.7 cm, 0.44 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eThis book was first published in 1989. Inference and prediction in human affairs are characterised by a cognitive and reactive sample space, the elements of which are aware both of the statistician and of each other. It is therefore not surprising that methodologies borrowed from classical statistics and the physical sciences have yielded disappointingly few lasting empirical insights and have sometimes failed in predictive mode. This book puts the underlying methodology of socioeconomic statistics on a firmer footing by placing it within the ambit of inferential and predictive games. It covers such problems as learning, publication, non-response, strategic response, the nature and possibility of rational expectations, time inconsistency, intrinsic nonstationarity, and the existence of probabilities. Ideas are introduced such as real-time survey schemes, argument instability and reaction-proof forecasting based on stochastic approximation. Applications are canvassed to such topics as attitude measurement, political polling, econometric modelling under heterogeneous information, and the forecasting of hallmark events.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePreface\u003cbr\u003e 1. The reactive sample space\u003cbr\u003e 2. Response and social information\u003cbr\u003e 3. Response and strategic behavior\u003cbr\u003e 4. Publication and the political economy of prediction\u003cbr\u003e 5. Rational expectations and socioeconomic modeling\u003cbr\u003e 6. Games, beauty contests, and equilibrium: the foundations of structural invariance\u003cbr\u003e 7. Disequilibrium and noncooperative expectational games\u003cbr\u003e 8. The view from within\u003cbr\u003e References\u003cbr\u003e Index.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Econometrics [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Econometrics\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Econometrics%20%5BKCH%5D%22\"\u003eKCH\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"Cambridge University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46006551085336,"sku":"9780521123419","price":29.99,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0730\/2037\/5320\/products\/9780521123419i_8a8f5a37-328a-43a2-91a9-8dacbdce9973.jpg?v=1691371776","url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/statistical-games-and-human-affairs-this-view-from-within-paperback-9780521123419","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}