{"product_id":"sports-betting-for-dummies-paperback-softback-9781119654384","title":"Sports Betting For Dummies (Paperback \/ softback) 9781119654384","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003eSports Betting For Dummies\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003eSwain Scheps (Author)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9781119654384, Wiley\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePaperback \/ softback, published 16 June 2020\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e464 pages\u003cbr\u003e23.1 x 18.5 x 2.8 cm, 0.612 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eThe sports gambling book you can bet on\u003c\/b\u003e\u003ci\u003e \u003c\/i\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSports betting combines America's national pastime (sports) with its national passion (gambling). In the U.S., more than a third of the population bets on at least one sporting event every year. With the recent lifting of the federal ban on sports gambling, states are pushing legislation to take advantage of the new potential source of revenue. \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe best sports betting books are data driven, statistically honest, and offer ways to take action. \u003ci\u003eSports Betting For Dummies \u003c\/i\u003ewill cover the basics, as well as delving into more nuanced topics. You’ll find all the need-to-know information on types of bets, statistics, handicapping fundamentals, and more.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cul\u003e \u003cli\u003eBetting on football, basketball, baseball, and other sports \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eBetting on special events, such as the Superbowl or the Olympics \u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eMoney management\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eBetting on the internet\u003c\/li\u003e \u003c\/ul\u003e \u003cp\u003eWith handy tips, tricks, and tools, \u003ci\u003eSports Betting For Dummies\u003c\/i\u003e shows you how to place the right bet at the right time—to get the right payoff.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e\u003cp\u003eForeword xv\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eIntroduction 1\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAbout This Book 1\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBefore You Go Any Further 3\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFoolish Assumptions 4\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIcons Used in This Book 5\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBeyond the Book 5\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhere to Go from Here 5\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart 1: Sports Betting Basics\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cb\u003e 7\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 1: Betting Sports for Fun and Profit\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cb\u003e 9\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEight Days in October 10\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA surprise win 10\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eVictory’s revenge 10\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinding profit in the roller coaster 11\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDo Sports Bettors Win? 12\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Wagers of Sin 14\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFans and Bettors: Better Fans 15\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSharps and squares 16\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAdvantage bettors 17\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhy 50 Percent Doesn’t Cut It 17\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e52.38 is the new 50 18\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHow sports bettors win 19\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eComparative betting success 20\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat Kind of Sports Bettor Are You? 20\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinancially interested fan 21\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAce Rothstein-esque 21\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eData guru 22\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSpread shredder 22\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA little of everything 23\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Legal Landscape of Sports Betting 23\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eI’m not a lawyer but 23\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFederal laws 24\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Supreme Court to the rescue 25\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eState laws 25\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSports betting and organized crime 28\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat Can’t I Bet On? 29\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSetting Some Goals (and Limits) 29\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThis Is Your Brain on Gambling 30\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 2: The Basic Bets\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e33\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Betting Contract 34\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe premises of the promise 34\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMonetary policy 36\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAll’s fair 36\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOverloading the odds 37\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIlluminating examples 37\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAn introduction to betting with odds 40\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting against a Bookmaker 42\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe moneyline 43\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA quick look at vigorish (the vig) 50\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePoint Spreads: Thumb on the Scale 50\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eLosing team, winning bet 52\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHalf is enough 53\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePoint spread = 0 54\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting on a point spread 54\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOver\/Under Betting 56\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMulti-Bet Wagers 58\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eParlays: Let it ride 58\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eParlay odds 60\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTeasers: A little help 61\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eVariations on a Theme 62\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExotic bets 63\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProp bets 63\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 3: The House\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e65\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Sports Betting Business 66\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eInventing the modern sports book 67\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eToday’s business 67\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIn-Person Betting 67\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe big board: Reading the betting menu 68\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStep by step: How to place an in-person bet 74\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAnd in the end, the odds you get are equal to the odds you give 75\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe morning after 76\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOnline Betting 76\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDomestic online sports books 78\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOffshore sports books 78\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting kiosks\/casino apps 79\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eI Got a Guy: Private Bookmakers 79\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eState Lotteries 81\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart 2: Betting Smart\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cb\u003e 83\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 4: Beating the - Odds\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e85\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA Tale of Two Numbers 85\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGreat expectation 86\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBreakin’ even 2: Electric boogaloo 87\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePositive EV, No Instructions Included 88\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe missing piece: Win probability 89\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePennies on the dollar 89\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStaying positive 90\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBookmakers and Odds 91\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHolding onto the handle 92\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBook balancing 93\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBalancing the Books 97\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOdds as a price 97\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAn odds life 99\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSharp objects 102\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBookmaking Business Models 107\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMarket makers: The odds stork 107\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMarket followers 107\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe SuperMegaCup odds life cycle example 108\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEarly money\/late money 109\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWorld premier odds 109\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe early bird gets the risk (and the reward) 110\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOdds at odds 111\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 5: The Best Bettor Habits\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cb\u003e 113\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWinning Habits: A Quick Review 114\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting Approaches 114\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAn idealized bet selection process 115\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe goal of bet allocation 116\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinancial diversity 117\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe value of outs 120\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBet sizing 121\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Importance of Record-Keeping 125\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMeasures of success 126\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBet records 126\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBankrolling 127\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe time dimension 127\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTime as a flat circle 128\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhere do you stand? 128\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEstablishing a fiscal period 129\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHow to think about a wealthroll 131\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRolling your own 132\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMetric Superiority: Winning Percentage versus ROI versus Profit 134\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eROI 134\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProfit (and loss) 136\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWin\/loss records 139\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 6: Full Frontal Nudity (and Some Statistics and Probability)\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e141\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThanks for Nothing, Ancestors 142\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNarratives instead of numbers 143\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eProbabilities and Single-Outcome Events 144\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAlternate universes would be nice 145\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStatistical analysis as a process to find truth(iness) 146\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOverdue: The Gambler’s Fallacy 147\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHow Randomness Masquerades as Non-Randomness 148\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe fundamental assumption of randomness 149\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eInserting randomness into sports assertions 149\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDescriptive versus predictive 151\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePredictably random: The bell curve 152\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Matter of Sample Size 153\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Law of Large Numbers 154\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStandard deviation: You can do this 156\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Wonderful, Life-Changing Beauty of the Amazing Gambler’s Z-Score 160\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eZee origin story 160\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Z-score and sports betting 161\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 7: Handicapping the Fundamentals\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e165\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Challenges of Fundamental Analysis 166\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOutside the Lines, between the Ears 167\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe home-field advantage example 168\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe benefits of fundamental analysis 168\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe downside of fundamental analysis 169\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eUniversal Fundamentals Concepts 171\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMatchup 171\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRest and fatigue 175\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTravel 176\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRecent performance 177\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStrength of competition 178\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMotivation 178\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTeam Sports Factors 180\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOverall talent and speed 180\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGame plan 181\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCoaching 181\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSchedule\/spot analysis 182\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExternal Factors 182\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWeather 183\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRules changes 183\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOfficiating 183\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eVenue and crowd 184\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMeasuring Performance Variance 184\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 8: Technical Analysis and Modeling\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e187\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eLike Math, but Fancier 188\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAnalytics 188\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eModeling 189\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDe-randomizing historical data 191\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSystems and Angles 192\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting systems 193\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting angles 194\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Benefits of Data-Driven Analysis 195\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat Gets Lost in the Numbers 197\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSystems, like all handicapping, require patience 197\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGames change over time 197\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTeams change over time 197\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThere is no such thing as a single spread or total 198\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe betting market assimilates winning systems into the odds 198\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eComplexity and the Scourge of P-Hacking 199\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCharacteristics of a Good System or Angle 201\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStatistically significant 201\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePredictive 201\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBettable 201\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTimely 202\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFrequent (enough) 202\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eA First Look at Trend-Spotting Tools 202\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHow it works 203\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eQuerying previous games 204\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eToday’s games 205\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 9: Power Ratings\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e207\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRanking, Rating? What’s the Difference? 208\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTotally rated 208\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePower rating strengths 210\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePower rating weaknesses 210\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDeveloping a Power Rating of Your Own 211\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePlagiarism is the sincerest form of flattery 212\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eYour first power rating 212\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eP.E class 214\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGame-by-game data 215\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhat to do in early season 217\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePutting it all together in Excel 220\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart 3: Winning One Sport at a Time\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e225\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 10: Betting to Win on the NFL\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e27\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eToday’s NFL Game 228                      \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Evolution of NFL Spreads and Totals 230\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCommon NFL Bets 231\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNotation 231\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDerivative betting and props 231\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFutures betting 232\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting sides 233\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTotal bets 237\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting the NFL Preseason 239\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePreseason lines and limits 240\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePreseason as predictor 241\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting on head coaches 241\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET on week 2 losers 243\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOther preseason betting factors 243\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNFL Fundamentals 244\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSchedule spot (travel, bye week) 244\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eInjuries 247\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWeather 248\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNFL Systems and Angles 250\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET Belichick’s slow starts 250\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET a case of the Mondays 251\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET restless on the road 251\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET growing totals 251\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 11: Betting to Win on College Football\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e253\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe College Football Schedule 254\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eScoring Overview 255\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCollege Football Bets 257\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCollege football sides 257\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMargin of victory 257\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCollege football totals 259\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eUsing push frequency to select the best odds 260\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMultiples: Parlays and teasers in college football 264\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThinking about teaser and parlay odds 265\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOffseason Evaluation and Betting 267\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThat returning starters thing 267\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAlternatives to returning starters 268\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET on hope as a strategy? 269\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSummer betting 270\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhy don’t you just meet me in the middle? 270\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRegular Season Betting 271\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEssential statistics for betting 272\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRest 272\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRunning up the score 274\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eQuarter scoring trends 275\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRunnin’ and gunnin’ 276\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTurnovers 277\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting the Post Season 279\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRevenge is overrated 279\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePostseason motivation 280\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSaving yourself 280\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMore College Football Systems 281\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET under the home back to back 281\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET far to go 282\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET over the hype 282\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET kick ’em when they’re down 283\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET with the hype just this once 283\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET over the early season mismatch 284\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 12: Betting to Win on NBA Basketball\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e287\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting the Offensive Explosion 288\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOne and a Half Curses 289\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe NBA Betting Market 290\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePreseason betting 291\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePostseason betting 292\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET on #2 Live Crew 294\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCommon NBA Bets 294\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSides 294\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe top of the key 296\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNBA moneyline 296\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTotals 298\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEarly season herding 298\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eQuarters and halves 299\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHandicapping factors in NBA 299\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNBA Systems and Angles 304\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRegular season 305\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePostseason 306\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 13: Betting to Win on College Basketball\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e309\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Basics of College Basketball 310\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSize of market 311\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe efficiency of the NCAA basketball betting market 311\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe College Basketball Betting Cycle 312\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePreseason 312\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe regular season 312\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePostseason 312\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting on Games 312\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFull game spread 313\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFull game total 316\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe great under 316\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWagering on the 1st and 2nd half 318\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExtreme total games 320\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOvertime games 320\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBuying points (or not) 321\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNCAA Basketball Teasers 324\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCollege Basketball Angles 325\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDON’T BET the slider 325\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET spread streakers 326\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET over conference surprises 326\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting the NCAA Tournament 327\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSeed-by-seed results 328\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSpread records 330\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET tourney twofer against and under big tourney faves 330\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 14: Betting to Win on Major League Baseball\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e331\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Basics of Major League Baseball 332\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBaseball Bets and Odds 333\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe baseball moneyline 334\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTotal runs bet 336\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRun line bet 336\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBaseball’s “ACTION” condition 338\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e9 divided by 2 = 5 inning lines 339\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOther common baseball bets 341\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBaseball Scoring Patterns 344\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRuns per game 344\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRuns per inning 344\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAssessing hot and cold streaks 345\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eStarting Pitching and MLB Odds 346\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET on rest 346\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHome\/away splits 347\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Park Factor 348\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePark factor statistics 348\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePark factor research opportunities 349\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWeather 349\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eLet me tell you about wind 349\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eYou are my density 350\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOther weather effects 351\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBetting against the Public 352\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTeam streaks 352\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET the win streak ends here 353\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMore streak betting 354\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMLB Systems and Angles 354\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET under extreme totals! 355\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET big favorites! 356\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBET pitcher’s duel losers! 357\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart 4: Mastering the Craft\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e359\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 15: You versus You\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e361\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWho Actually Wins at Sports Betting? 362\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDecision-Making and Judgment 363\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eHeuristics 363\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eInsensitivity to predictability 364\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eInformation cannot inoculate you from randomness 365\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe illusion of validity 365\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThin-slicing 366\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMisunderstanding regression to the mean 366\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eMore Cognitive Biases 367\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Gambler’s Fallacy 367\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConfirmation bias 368\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRecency bias 369\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAvailability bias 370\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFamiliarity bias 370\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePeas and carrots 370\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Gambler’s Fallacy’s evil twin: The Hot Hand 371\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Momentum Fallacy 371\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Fundamental Sports Betting Attribution Error (FSBAE) 372\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 16: The Sports Bettors’ Essential Excel Toolkit\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e373\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eExcel Stuff Even Non-Bettors Should Know 374\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eReference types 374\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNaming cells and ranges 376\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFind values in a table with VLookup 378\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConditional love: Using IF statements 380\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEliminating errors with IfError 383\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eEssential Gambler’s Formulas 384\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTranslating moneyline odds into break-even win percentage 384\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWin probability into an equivalent moneyline 385\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGreater than 50% chance to equivalent moneyline 385\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eTracking win% 386\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eNormalized winning percentage 386\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDiscounting wins 387\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eKelly Criterion formula 389\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe Gambler’s Z 389\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart 5: The Part of Tens\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e391\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 17: Ten Betting Mistakes You Should Avoid\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e393\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eChasing the Late-Night Slumpbuster 393\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eSpinning Your Records 394\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eLimiting Your Options 394\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRealism: It’s Not Just for Pre-Raphaelite Artists 395\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThinking Yesterday’s Game = Today’s Game 396\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePassing on Passing 396\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePaying for Picks 397\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFalling for the Five Star Fallacy 397\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eListening to “Experts” 397\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eBeing Too Focused on Averages 398\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eChapter 18: 10 (or so) Books You Should Devour to Make Yourself a Better Sports Bettor\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cb\u003e401\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Signal and the Noise \u003c\/i\u003eby Nate Silver 401\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eSuperForecasting \u003c\/i\u003eby Philip E Tetlock and Dan Gardner 402\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eConfidence \u003c\/i\u003eby Tomas Chamorro-Premuzic 402\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eSuperbookie \u003c\/i\u003eby Art Manteris 402\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eFailure \u003c\/i\u003eby Stuart Firestein 403\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eScorecasting \u003c\/i\u003eby Tobias Moskowitz 403\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eHow to Lie with Statistics \u003c\/i\u003eby Darrell Huff 403\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eSharper \u003c\/i\u003eby Poker Joe 404\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Big Short \u003c\/i\u003eby Michael Lewis 404\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThe Black Swan \u003c\/i\u003eby Nassim Taleb 405\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eMoby Dick \u003c\/i\u003eby Herman Melville 405\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart 6: Appendixes \u003c\/b\u003e\u003cb\u003e407\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAppendix A: The Best Online Resources for Sports Bettors 409\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAppendix B: Online Sports Book Comparison 415\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIndex 419\u003c\/p\u003e\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Sports \u0026amp; outdoor recreation [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Sports \u0026amp; outdoor recreation\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Sports%20\u0026amp;%20outdoor%20recreation%20%5BWS%5D%22\"\u003eWS\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"For Dummies","offers":[{"title":"Brand New","offer_id":52453546754328,"sku":"9781119654384","price":14.28,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0730\/2037\/5320\/files\/9781119654384.jpg?v=1785286261","url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/sports-betting-for-dummies-paperback-softback-9781119654384","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}