{"product_id":"risk-revealed-cautionary-tales-understanding-and-communication-paperback-softback-9781009299817","title":"Risk Revealed; Cautionary Tales, Understanding and Communication (Paperback \/ softback) 9781009299817","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003eRisk Revealed\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\u003cfont size=\"5\"\u003eCautionary Tales, Understanding and Communication\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eA widely accessible treatment on risk that uses numerous examples to demonstrate the types of questions statistical modeling can answer.\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003ePaul Embrechts (Author), Marius Hofert (Author), Valérie Chavez-Demoulin (Author)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9781009299817, Cambridge University Press\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePaperback \/ softback, published 11 April 2024\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e384 pages\u003cbr\u003e25.3 x 17.8 x 1.9 cm, 0.79 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cem\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e'I very much enjoyed this excursion through a world of risk, as revealed in historical incidents from Dutch tulip mania to the coronavirus pandemic. Written by three experts in quantitative modeling, each episode holds important lessons on risk communication, as well as some accessible maths and a wealth of entertaining detail.' Alexander J. McNeil, University of York Management School\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eExplore the concept of risk through numerous examples and their statistical modeling, traveling from a historical perspective all the way to an up-to-date technical analysis. Written with a wide readership in mind, this book begins with accounts of a selection of major historical disasters, such as the North Sea flood of 1953 and the L'Aquila earthquake. These tales serve to set the scene and to motivate the second part of the book, which describes the mathematical tools required to analyze these events, and how to use them. The focus is on the basic understanding of the mathematical modeling of risk and what types of questions the methods allow one to answer. The text offers a bridge between the world of science and that of everyday experience. It is written to be accessible to readers with only a basic background in mathematics and statistics. Even the more technical discussions are interspersed with historical comments and plentiful examples.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eIntroduction\u003cbr\u003e 1. The 1953 Great Flood\u003cbr\u003e 2. The space shuttle Challenger disaster\u003cbr\u003e 3. The 2007–2008 financial crisis\u003cbr\u003e 4. Earthquakes and tsunamis\u003cbr\u003e 5. The L'Aquila trial and the public communication of risk\u003cbr\u003e 6. The coronavirus pandemic\u003cbr\u003e 7. Mathematical wonderland\u003cbr\u003e 8. Stochastic modeling\u003cbr\u003e 9. The modeling of extreme events\u003cbr\u003e 10. On climate change and related risk\u003cbr\u003e 11. Further examples from the world of extremes\u003cbr\u003e 12. Networks\u003cbr\u003e 13. The black tulip and February 3, 1637\u003cbr\u003e A note about the references\u003cbr\u003e References\u003cbr\u003e Index.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Optimization [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Optimization\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Optimization%20%5BPBU%5D%22\"\u003ePBU\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"Cambridge University Press","offers":[{"title":"Brand New","offer_id":52460733104408,"sku":"9781009299817","price":33.39,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0730\/2037\/5320\/files\/9781009299817i.jpg?v=1785459754","url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/risk-revealed-cautionary-tales-understanding-and-communication-paperback-softback-9781009299817","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}