{"product_id":"probability-and-the-art-of-judgment-paperback-9780521397704","title":"Probability and the Art of Judgment (Paperback) 9780521397704","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003eProbability and the Art of Judgment\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003eRichard Jeffrey (Author)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9780521397704, Cambridge University Press\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePaperback, published 27 March 1992\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e260 pages\u003cbr\u003e22.7 x 15.2 x 1.3 cm, 0.402 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cem\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e\"Probability and the Art of Judgment is a valuable addition to the literature of decision theory for its broad presentation of Jeffrey's thought and for the stimulation and challenge it provides.  Graduate students and researchers who study preference, subjective probability, or decision theory from either a descriptive or normative orientation can find it a rich source of ideas.\"   Journal of Mathematical Psychology\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eRichard Jeffrey is beyond dispute one of the most distinguished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge. His work is distinctive in showing the interplay of epistemological concerns with probability and utility theory. Not only has he made use of standard probabilistic and decision theoretic tools to clarify concepts of evidential support and informed choice, he has also proposed significant modifications of the standard Bayesian position in order that it provide a better fit with actual human experience. Probability logic is viewed not as a source of judgment but as a framework for explaining the implications of probabilistic judgments and their mutual compatability. This collection of essays spans a period of some 35 years and includes what have become some of the classic works in the literature. There is also one completely new piece, while in many instances Jeffrey includes afterthoughts on the older essays.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePreface\u003cbr\u003e 1. Introduction: radical probabilism\u003cbr\u003e 2. Valuation an dacceptance of scientific hypotheses\u003cbr\u003e 3. Probable knowledge\u003cbr\u003e 4. Probability and the art of judgment\u003cbr\u003e 5. Bayesianism with a human face\u003cbr\u003e 6. Alias Smith and Jones: the testimony of the senses\u003cbr\u003e 7. Conditioning, kinematics, and exchangeability\u003cbr\u003e 8. Preference among preferences\u003cbr\u003e 9. On interpersonal utility theory\u003cbr\u003e 10. Remarks on interpersonal utility theory\u003cbr\u003e 11. Mises redux\u003cbr\u003e 12. Statistical explanation vs. statistical inference\u003cbr\u003e 13. New foundations for Bayesian decision theory\u003cbr\u003e 14. Frameworks for preference\u003cbr\u003e 15. Axiomatizing the logic of decision\u003cbr\u003e 16. A note on the kinematics of preference.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Philosophy: logic [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Philosophy: logic\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Philosophy:%20logic%20%5BHPL%5D%22\"\u003eHPL\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"Cambridge University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46004615414040,"sku":"9780521397704","price":34.19,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0730\/2037\/5320\/products\/9780521397704i_b7594071-c8ef-47cc-8255-73c631d8757d.jpg?v=1691381077","url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/probability-and-the-art-of-judgment-paperback-9780521397704","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}