{"product_id":"probability-and-evidence-paperback-9781316507018","title":"Probability and Evidence (Paperback \/ softback) 9781316507018","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003eProbability and Evidence\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eThis influential book offers a probabilistic approach to scientific reasoning to resolve central issues in the philosophy of science.\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003ePaul Horwich (Author)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9781316507018, Cambridge University Press\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePaperback \/ softback, published 26 August 2016\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e146 pages, 10 b\/w illus.  5 tables\u003cbr\u003e22.7 x 15.2 x 0.9 cm, 0.23 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cem\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e'… the strongest and most influential parts of Probability and Evidence are Horwich's solutions to various puzzles about scientific reasoning … the book might very well still be of considerable interest to those who are looking for an engaging and readable introduction to the topic of scientific reasoning from a Bayesian perspective.' Finnur Dellsén, Metascience\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eIn this influential study of central issues in the philosophy of science, Paul Horwich elaborates on an important conception of probability, diagnosing the failure of previous attempts to resolve these issues as stemming from a too-rigid conception of belief. Adopting a Bayesian strategy, he argues for a probabilistic approach, yielding a more complete understanding of the characteristics of scientific reasoning and methodology. Presented in a fresh twenty-first-century series livery, and including a specially commissioned preface written by Colin Howson, illuminating its enduring importance and relevance to philosophical enquiry, this engaging work has been revived for a new generation of readers.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePreface to this edition Colin Howson\u003cbr\u003e Part I. Methodology: 1. Introduction\u003cbr\u003e 2. Aspects of the scientific method\u003cbr\u003e 3. A taste of Bayesianism\u003cbr\u003e Part II. Probability: 4. The primitive theory\u003cbr\u003e 5. Subjectivism\u003cbr\u003e 6. The rationalist interpretation\u003cbr\u003e 7. The logical interpretation\u003cbr\u003e 8. The evidential state\u003cbr\u003e 9. The empirical interpretation\u003cbr\u003e Part III. Confirmation: 10. Explications\u003cbr\u003e 11. The paradox\u003cbr\u003e 12. A Bayesian pseudo-solution to the problem of induction\u003cbr\u003e 13. Projection\u003cbr\u003e Part IV. Induction: Section 1. The Nature of Inductive Inference\u003cbr\u003e Section 2. Conditions of Rationality: 14. Demonstrable reliability\u003cbr\u003e 15. The demonstrable reliability of c+\u003cbr\u003e 16. Immodesty\u003cbr\u003e 17. Audacity\u003cbr\u003e Section 3. The Justification of Induction: 18. The impossibility of a noncircular rationale\u003cbr\u003e 19. Inductive demonstration of reliability\u003cbr\u003e 20. Semantic justification\u003cbr\u003e Part V. Prediction: 21. Surprise\u003cbr\u003e 22. Severe tests\u003cbr\u003e 23. Ad hoc hypothesis\u003cbr\u003e 24. Prediction versus accommodation\u003cbr\u003e Part VI. Evidence: 25. The evidential value of varied data\u003cbr\u003e 26. The value of further data\u003cbr\u003e Part VII. Realism: 27. Popper\u003cbr\u003e 28. Realism versus instrumentalism\u003cbr\u003e 29. Putnam\u003cbr\u003e 30. Glymour\u003cbr\u003e 31. Conclusion\u003cbr\u003e Bibliography\u003cbr\u003e Index.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Philosophy of science [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Philosophy of science\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Philosophy%20of%20science%20%5BPDA%5D%22\"\u003ePDA\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"Cambridge University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46001066803480,"sku":"9781316507018","price":20.29,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0730\/2037\/5320\/products\/9781316507018i.jpg?v=1696681457","url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/probability-and-evidence-paperback-9781316507018","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}