{"product_id":"politics-and-uncertainty-theory-models-and-applications-paperback-9780521589154","title":"Politics and Uncertainty; Theory, Models and Applications (Paperback) 9780521589154","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003ePolitics and Uncertainty\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\u003cfont size=\"5\"\u003eTheory, Models and Applications\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eThis book provides a direct treatment of political uncertainty as a scientifically-knowable phenomenon.\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003eClaudio Cioffi-Revilla (Author)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9780521589154, Cambridge University Press\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePaperback, published 16 July 1998\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e364 pages, 43 b\/w illus.  20 tables\u003cbr\u003e22.9 x 15.2 x 2.1 cm, 0.53 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cem\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e\"Claudio Cioffi-Revilla ranks high among political theorists who advise the use of mathematics to make political science more precise and scientific. Politics and Uncertainty couples politics with randomness, from which it follows that mathematical models can make what is improbable predictable.\"    Bertil L. Hanson, Perspectives on Political Science\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eUncertainty is an ever-present and ineradicable aspect of politics. It affects all important issues of governance and policy, in both domestic and international contexts. Rather than treating the uncertainty of politics as a mystery, this book provides an original and direct treatment of political uncertainty as a scientifically-knowable phenomenon with well-defined principles and substantive properties. Specific applications of this theory of political uncertainty are demonstrated in diverse areas of politics, examining such questions as when and how wars break out, when and how governments collapse, and when and how political cooperation emerges. The author shows how probability and mathematical modeling can play a central role in understanding such complex and fundamental issues.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePart I. Foundations: 1. Introduction\u003cbr\u003e Part II. Macropolitics: 2. Behavior of political variables\u003cbr\u003e 3. General macropolitical principles\u003cbr\u003e 4. Special macropolitical principles\u003cbr\u003e Part III. Micropolitics: 5. Occurrence of political events\u003cbr\u003e 6. General Micropolitical principles\u003cbr\u003e 7. Special micropolitical principles\u003cbr\u003e Part IV. Conclusions: 8. Synthesis.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Political science \u0026amp; theory [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Political science \u0026amp; theory\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Political%20science%20\u0026amp;%20theory%20%5BJPA%5D%22\"\u003eJPA\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"Cambridge University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46297220448536,"sku":"9780521589154","price":31.29,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/politics-and-uncertainty-theory-models-and-applications-paperback-9780521589154","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}