{"product_id":"optimal-control-expectations-and-uncertainty-hardback-9780521264440","title":"Optimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty (Hardback) 9780521264440","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003eOptimal Control, Expectations and Uncertainty\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eAn examination of how the rational expectations revolution and game theory have enhanced the understanding of how an economy functions.\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003eSean Holly (Author), Andrew Hughes Hallet (Author)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9780521264440, Cambridge University Press\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eHardback, published 20 July 1989\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e260 pages\u003cbr\u003e23.7 x 16 x 2 cm, 0.511 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cem\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e\"...a nicely written book that covers a wealth of optimization tools originating from optimal and stochastic control and game theory, in a context of policy making in economics....a good introduction to the topic for those who would want to pursue research in dynamic decision making under uncertainty.\"   Tamer Ba^D,sar, Mathematical Reviews\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eThe rational expectations revolution and other developments in economics (notably game theory) have fundamentally altered the application of optimal control theory to economic forecasting and planning. In particular, they have shown that economic systems cannot be modelled simplistically on physical systems. However, as the authors of this volume show, these developments have greatly enhanced our understanding of how an economy functions, and now make it possible for optimal control theory to be applied much more effectively to economic modelling and planning. This book is divided into two parts. The first presents the orthodox framework but extends it to allow for multiplicative uncertainty, risk and non-linearities in the econometric model. The second part looks explicitly at the question of expectations. It provides methods by which forward-looking expectations can be treated jointly with the determination of economic policy. It also examines game-theoretic considerations - where, for instance, policy makers may have incentive to renege on their commitments.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePreface\u003cbr\u003e 1. Introduction\u003cbr\u003e 2. The theory of economic policy and the linear model\u003cbr\u003e 3. Optimal-policy design\u003cbr\u003e 4. Uncertainty and risk\u003cbr\u003e 5. Risk aversion, priorities and achievements\u003cbr\u003e 6. Non-linear optimal control\u003cbr\u003e 7. The linear rational-expectations model\u003cbr\u003e 8. Policy design for rational-expectations models\u003cbr\u003e 9. Non-cooperative, full-information dynamic games\u003cbr\u003e 10. Incomplete information, bargaining and social optima\u003cbr\u003e Notes\u003cbr\u003e References\u003cbr\u003e Index.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Macroeconomics [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Macroeconomics\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Macroeconomics%20%5BKCB%5D%22\"\u003eKCB\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"Cambridge University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46006962159896,"sku":"9780521264440","price":80.69,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0730\/2037\/5320\/products\/9780521264440i_3fbab7a5-5048-40d8-857b-e9591f7a54fd.jpg?v=1691374141","url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/optimal-control-expectations-and-uncertainty-hardback-9780521264440","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}