{"product_id":"judgment-and-decision-making-an-interdisciplinary-reader-hardback-9780521623551","title":"Judgment and Decision Making; An Interdisciplinary Reader (Hardback) 9780521623551","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003eJudgment and Decision Making\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\u003cfont size=\"5\"\u003eAn Interdisciplinary Reader\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eThis volume is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision making.\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003eTerry Connolly (Edited by), Hal R. Arkes (Edited by), Kenneth R. Hammond (Edited by)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9780521623551, Cambridge University Press\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eHardback, published 13 January 2000\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e804 pages, 74 b\/w illus.  45 tables\u003cbr\u003e23.7 x 16 x 4.3 cm, 1.16 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cem\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e\"The three papers in this section are excellent...In this highly readable paper, Dawes draws on examples from a number of disparate fields to discuss the well known, though surprising, finding that simple weighted means of predictor variables produce more accurate forecasts than experts who are basing their judgment on the same variables.\"   Internationsl Journal of Forcasting\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eResearchers in a growing number of fields - public policy, law, business, medicine, psychology, engineering, and others - are working to understand and improve human judgment and decision making. This book, which presupposes no formal training, brings together a selection of key articles in the area, with careful organization, introduction and commentaries. Issues involving medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labor negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, jury decisions issues, and more are treated in this largely expanded volume, indicating the variety of problems - and scope in judgment and decision making. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied. The papers selected are scientific in nature, but chosen specifically to appeal to the scholar, student and layperson alike.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSeries preface\u003cbr\u003e Contributors\u003cbr\u003e Editors' preface to the second edition\u003cbr\u003e Part I. Introduction and Overview: 1. Multiattribute evaluation\u003cbr\u003e 2. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases\u003cbr\u003e 3. Coherence and correspondence theories in judgment and decision making\u003cbr\u003e 4. Enhancing diagnostic decisions\u003cbr\u003e Part II. Applications in Public Policy: 5. Illusions and mirages in public policy\u003cbr\u003e 6. The psychology of sunk cost\u003cbr\u003e 7. Value-focused thinking about strategic decisions at BC Hydro\u003cbr\u003e 8. Making better use of scientific knowledge: separating truth from justice\u003cbr\u003e Part III. Applications in Economics: 9. Choices, values and frames\u003cbr\u003e 10. Who uses the cost-benefit rules of choice? Implications for the normative status of microeconomic theory\u003cbr\u003e 11. Does studying economics inhibit cooperation?\u003cbr\u003e Part IV. Legal Applications: 12. Leading questions and the eyewitness report\u003cbr\u003e 13. Explanation-based decision making\u003cbr\u003e 14. Decision theory, reasonable doubt and the utility of erroneous acquittals\u003cbr\u003e Part V. Medical Applications: 15. Capturing policy in hearing-aid decisions by audiologists\u003cbr\u003e 16. Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting\u003cbr\u003e 17. On the elicitation of preferences for alternative therapies\u003cbr\u003e 18. Enhanced interpretation of diagnostic images\u003cbr\u003e Part VI. Experts: 19. Reducing the influence of irrelevant information on experienced decision makers\u003cbr\u003e 20. Expert judgment: some necessary conditions and an example\u003cbr\u003e 21. The expert witness in psychology and psychiatry\u003cbr\u003e Part VII. Forecasting and Prediction: 22. What forecast (seems to) mean\u003cbr\u003e 23. Proper and improper linear models\u003cbr\u003e 24. Seven components of judgmental forecasting skill: implications for research and the improvement of forecasts\u003cbr\u003e Part VIII. Bargaining and negotiation: 25. The judgment policies of negotiators and the structure of negotiation problems\u003cbr\u003e 26. The effect of agents and mediators on negotiation outcomes\u003cbr\u003e Part IX. Risk: 27. Risk within reason\u003cbr\u003e 28. Risk perception and communication\u003cbr\u003e 29. Perceived risk, trust and democracy\u003cbr\u003e Part X. Research Methods: 30. Value elicitation: is there anything in there?\u003cbr\u003e 31. The overconfidence phenomenon as a consequence of informal experimenter-guided selection of almanac items\u003cbr\u003e 32. The a priori case against graphology: methodological and conceptual issues\u003cbr\u003e Part XI. Critiques and New Directions I: 33. The two camps on rationality Helmut Jungermann\u003cbr\u003e 34. On cognitive illusions and their implications\u003cbr\u003e 35. Reasoning the fast and frugal way: models of bounded rationality\u003cbr\u003e 36. Judgment and decision making in social context: discourse processes and rational inference\u003cbr\u003e Part XII. Critiques and New Directions II: 37. Why we still use our heads instead of formulas: toward an integrative approach\u003cbr\u003e 38. Nonconsequentialist decisions\u003cbr\u003e 39. Algebra and process in the modeling of risky choice\u003cbr\u003e 40. The theory of image theory: an examination of the central conceptual structure\u003cbr\u003e Author index\u003cbr\u003e Subject index.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Psychology [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Psychology\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Psychology%20%5BJM%5D%22\"\u003eJM\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"Cambridge University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46003460899096,"sku":"9780521623551","price":200.39,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0730\/2037\/5320\/products\/9780521623551_63bf2ced-ce95-420e-9e02-164e91941a64.gif?v=1691370675","url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/judgment-and-decision-making-an-interdisciplinary-reader-hardback-9780521623551","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}