{"product_id":"heuristics-and-biases-the-psychology-of-intuitive-judgment-paperback-9780521796798","title":"Heuristics and Biases; The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment (Paperback) 9780521796798","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003eHeuristics and Biases\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\u003cfont size=\"5\"\u003eThe Psychology of Intuitive Judgment\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eThis book, first published in 2002, compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer important questions about intuitive judgment.\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003eThomas Gilovich (Edited by), Dale Griffin (Edited by), Daniel Kahneman (Edited by)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9780521796798, Cambridge University Press\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003ePaperback, published 8 July 2002\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e882 pages, 53 b\/w illus.  80 tables\u003cbr\u003e23.1 x 16 x 4.6 cm, 1.25 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cem\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e\"Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment is a scholarly treat, one that is sure to shape the perspectives of another generation of researchers, teachers, and graduate students.  The book will serve as a welcome refresher course for some readers and a strong introduction to an important research perspective for others.\"    Journal of Social and Clinical Psychology\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/em\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eIs our case strong enough to go to trial? Will interest rates go up? Can I trust this person? Such questions - and the judgments required to answer them - are woven into the fabric of everyday experience. This book, first published in 2002, examines how people make such judgments. The study of human judgment was transformed in the 1970s, when Kahneman and Tversky introduced their 'heuristics and biases' approach and challenged the dominance of strictly rational models. Their work highlighted the reflexive mental operations used to make complex problems manageable and illuminated how the same processes can lead to both accurate and dangerously flawed judgments. The heuristics and biases framework generated a torrent of influential research in psychology - research that reverberated widely and affected scholarship in economics, law, medicine, management, and political science. This book compiles the most influential research in the heuristics and biases tradition since the initial collection of 1982 (by Kahneman, Slovic, and Tversky).\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eIntroduction: heuristics and biases then and now\u003cbr\u003e Part I. Theoretical and Empirical Extensions: 1. Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment\u003cbr\u003e 2. Representativeness revisited: attribute substitution in intuitive judgment\u003cbr\u003e 3. How alike is it versus how likely it is: a disjunction fallacy in probability judgments\u003cbr\u003e 4. Imagining can heighten or lower the perceived likelihood of contracting a disease: the mediating effect of ease of imagery\u003cbr\u003e 5. The availability heuristic revisited: ease of recall and content of recall as distinct sources of information\u003cbr\u003e 6. Incorporating the irrelevant: anchors in judgments of belief and value\u003cbr\u003e 7. Putting adjustment back in the anchoring and adjustment heuristic: differential processing of self-generate and experimenter-provided anchors\u003cbr\u003e 8. Self anchoring in conversation: why language users don't do what they 'should'\u003cbr\u003e 9. Inferential correction\u003cbr\u003e 10. Mental contamination and the debiasing problem\u003cbr\u003e 11. Sympathetic magical thinking: the contagion and similarity 'heuristics'\u003cbr\u003e 12. Compatibility effects in judgment and choice\u003cbr\u003e 13. The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence\u003cbr\u003e 14. Inside the planning fallacy: the causes and consequences of optimistic time predictions\u003cbr\u003e 15. Probability judgment across cultures\u003cbr\u003e 16. Durability bias in affective forecasting\u003cbr\u003e 17. Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions\u003cbr\u003e 18. Ambiguity and self-evaluation: the role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability\u003cbr\u003e 19. When predictions fail: the dilemma of unrealistic optimism\u003cbr\u003e 20. Norm theory: comparing reality to its alternatives\u003cbr\u003e 21. Counterfactual thought, regret, and superstition: how to avoid kicking yourself\u003cbr\u003e Part II. New Theoretical Directions: 22. Two systems of reasoning\u003cbr\u003e 23. The affect heuristic\u003cbr\u003e 24. Individual differences in reasoning: implications for the rationality debate?\u003cbr\u003e 25. Support theory: a nonextensional representation of subjective probability\u003cbr\u003e 26. Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: advances in support theory\u003cbr\u003e 27. Remarks on support theory: recent advances and future directions\u003cbr\u003e 28. The use of statistical heuristics in everyday inductive reasoning\u003cbr\u003e 29. Feelings as information: moods influence judgments and processing strategies\u003cbr\u003e 30. Automated choice heuristics\u003cbr\u003e 31. How good are fast and frugal heuristics?\u003cbr\u003e 32. Intuitive politicians, theologians, and prosecutors: exploring the empirical implications of deviant functionalist metaphors\u003cbr\u003e Part III. Real World Applications: 33. The hot hand in basketball: on the misperception of random sequences\u003cbr\u003e 34. Like goes with like: the role of representativeness in erroneous and pseudoscientific beliefs\u003cbr\u003e 35. When less is more: counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists\u003cbr\u003e 36. Understanding misunderstanding: social psychological perspectives\u003cbr\u003e 37. Assessing uncertainty in physical constants\u003cbr\u003e 38. Do analysts overreact?\u003cbr\u003e 39. The calibration of expert judgment: Heuristics and biases beyond the laboratory\u003cbr\u003e 40. Clinical versus actuarial judgment\u003cbr\u003e 41. Heuristics and biases in application\u003cbr\u003e 42. Theory driven reasoning about plausible pasts and probable futures in world politics.\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Psychological theory \u0026amp; schools of thought [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Psychological theory \u0026amp; schools of thought\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Psychological%20theory%20\u0026amp;%20schools%20of%20thought%20%5BJMA%5D%22\"\u003eJMA\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"Cambridge University Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":46000860692760,"sku":"9780521796798","price":53.99,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0730\/2037\/5320\/products\/9780521796798i_77fc79c4-2ef8-4c87-a59c-8dc5fe71cf99.jpg?v=1691368148","url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/heuristics-and-biases-the-psychology-of-intuitive-judgment-paperback-9780521796798","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}