{"product_id":"earthquake-occurrence-short-and-long-term-models-and-their-validation-hardback-9781786301246","title":"Earthquake Occurrence; Short- and Long-term Models and their Validation (Hardback) 9781786301246","description":"\u003cfont face=\"Georgia\"\u003e\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"6\"\u003eEarthquake Occurrence\u003c\/font\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\r\n\u003cfont size=\"5\"\u003eShort- and Long-term Models and their Validation\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"4\"\u003eRodolfo Console (Author), Maura Murru (Author), Giuseppe Falcone (Author)\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e9781786301246, Wiley\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eHardback, published 14 July 2017\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e176 pages\u003cbr\u003e23.6 x 16.3 x 1.5 cm, 0.318 kg\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003cp align=\"justify\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eEarthquake Occurrence\u003c\/i\u003e provides the reader with a review of algorithms applicable for modeling seismicity, such as short-term earthquake clustering and pseudo-periodic long-term behavior of major earthquakes. The concept of the likelihood ratio of a set of observations under different hypotheses is applied for comparison among various models.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIn short-term models, known by the term ETAS, the occurrence space and time rate density of earthquakes is modeled as the sum of two terms, one representing the independent or spontaneous events, and the other representing the activity triggered by previous earthquakes. Examples of the application of such algorithms in real cases are also reported.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDealing with long-term recurrence models, renewal time-dependent models, implying a pseudo-periodicity of earthquake occurrence, are compared with the simple time-independent Poisson model, in which every event occurs regardless of what has occurred in the past.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe book also introduces a number of computer codes developed by the authors over decades of seismological research.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/strong\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003e\u003cp\u003e1. Seismicity and Earthquake Catalogues Described as Point Processes.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e2. The Likelihood of a Hypothesis.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e3. The Likelihood for a Model of Continuous Rate Density Distribution.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e4. Forecast Verification Procedures.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e5. Applications of Epidemic Models.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e6. Long-term Earthquake Occurrence Models.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e7. Computer Programs and Examples of their Use.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cfont size=\"3\"\u003eSubject Areas: Mathematics [\u003ca title=\"See our other books on Mathematics\" href=\"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/search?q=%22Mathematics%20%5BPB%5D%22\"\u003ePB\u003c\/a\u003e]\u003c\/font\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\r\n\r\n\r\n\u003c\/font\u003e","brand":"Wiley-ISTE","offers":[{"title":"Brand New","offer_id":52446342381848,"sku":"9781786301246","price":108.99,"currency_code":"GBP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0730\/2037\/5320\/files\/9781786301246.jpg?v=1785111369","url":"https:\/\/freshlyprintedbooks.co.uk\/products\/earthquake-occurrence-short-and-long-term-models-and-their-validation-hardback-9781786301246","provider":"Freshly Printed Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}